The Hill - Republicans see Childers as litmus test for their 2010 strategy
If there’s any incumbent who might be sunk by the “D” next to his name, it’s Rep. Travis Childers (D-Miss.).
Even Republicans admit the popular new congressman has stayed on track through his first year and a half in a tough GOP-leaning district, so the party is counting on nationalizing the race as its key to victory in 2010.
And perhaps nowhere else will the strategy of tying incumbents to Democratic leaders like Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama be more front-and-center.
In other words, a year and a half after Childers’s special-election win symbolized Democrats’ continued momentum leading up to the 2008 campaign, his fate going forward could symbolize their decline.
“There’s no question Mr. Childers is a nice man, and he’s served very effectively at county level for about the same time as I’ve been in Legislature,” said his likely opponent, state Sen. Alan Nunnelee (R). “But legislative politics is a team sport.
“I think that people of North Mississippi understand the implications of his vote for Nancy Pelosi,” Nunnelee added.
Others put it more bluntly.
“We’re going to nationalize the hell out of it,” said a local GOP operative.
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The Hill
10/15/9
Posted October 15, 2009 - 8:01 am
Nunnelee is definitely striking the correct tone. Nice (not strident like Greg Davis), but honest.
Nunnelee has to be able to convince voters that the first vote that Childers casted (for Pelosi) was the most important one. As much as he will try to ride the fence on issues (like stimulus and health care), he can’t run from that one vote. He has taken help from Obama, and if it’s a straight referendum on Obama/Pelosi in that district, he’s in trouble.
The other point is that though Childers portrays himself as pro-life and pro-gun, he cannot reconcile his vote for Pelosi with those positions. You cannot, with primacy, define yourself as pro-life and pro-gun and then vote to place the agenda of the House in the hands of someone who is vehemently pro-choice and anti-gun. If Obama is 50&#xis;h or lower in the approval ratings in early-mid 2010 and Nunnelee can raise the $, Nunnelee has a real shot.
As always, I caveat my thoughts with the disclosure that I have made a reportable contribution to Nunnelee for his campaign.