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The Hill - Republicans see Childers as litmus test for their 2010 strategy

If there’s any incumbent who might be sunk by the “D” next to his name, it’s Rep. Travis Childers (D-Miss.).

Even Republicans admit the popular new congressman has stayed on track through his first year and a half in a tough GOP-leaning district, so the party is counting on nationalizing the race as its key to victory in 2010.

And perhaps nowhere else will the strategy of tying incumbents to Democratic leaders like Nancy Pelosi and Barack Obama be more front-and-center.
In other words, a year and a half after Childers’s special-election win symbolized Democrats’ continued momentum leading up to the 2008 campaign, his fate going forward could symbolize their decline.

“There’s no question Mr. Childers is a nice man, and he’s served very effectively at county level for about the same time as I’ve been in Legislature,” said his likely opponent, state Sen. Alan Nunnelee (R). “But legislative politics is a team sport.

“I think that people of North Mississippi understand the implications of his vote for Nancy Pelosi,” Nunnelee added.

Others put it more bluntly.

“We’re going to nationalize the hell out of it,” said a local GOP operative.

Read more at The Hill
10/15/9


Posted October 15, 2009 - 8:01 am
24 Comments:

Nunnelee is definitely striking the correct tone.  Nice (not strident like Greg Davis), but honest. 

Nunnelee has to be able to convince voters that the first vote that Childers casted (for Pelosi) was the most important one.  As much as he will try to ride the fence on issues (like stimulus and health care), he can’t run from that one vote.  He has taken help from Obama, and if it’s a straight referendum on Obama/Pelosi in that district, he’s in trouble. 

The other point is that though Childers portrays himself as pro-life and pro-gun, he cannot reconcile his vote for Pelosi with those positions.  You cannot, with primacy, define yourself as pro-life and pro-gun and then vote to place the agenda of the House in the hands of someone who is vehemently pro-choice and anti-gun.  If Obama is 50&#xis;h or lower in the approval ratings in early-mid 2010 and Nunnelee can raise the $, Nunnelee has a real shot.

As always, I caveat my thoughts with the disclosure that I have made a reportable contribution to Nunnelee for his campaign.

Posted by Alan on 10-15-2009 at 08:54 AM [link]

can you reference a “strident” comment made by davis during about chidlers?  or are you referring to the RNC ads? done without the permission or input of davis.  as has been well documented. 

and I doubt Mr. Nunelee is being all that nice towards childers’ when he speaks to GOP crowds. 

play nice and lose.

Posted by HernandoMan on 10-15-2009 at 09:57 AM [link]
Posted by Alan on 10-15-2009 at 10:34 AM [link]

The “quoted” GOP operatives have an opportunity when interviewed to keep their mouth shut or go deeper and tie Childers to other things as well as Obama, Pelosi and Reid.  They can get educated by checking his list of contributers such as the National Trial Lawyers Association, SEIU (ACORN CONNECTION), various labor unions and their PAC’s, as well as the HOOD man from Chicago, Rahm Emanuel.  Check out someone from Prairie, MS that is/was his religion liaison.

Posted by mudcreekmind on 10-15-2009 at 11:54 AM [link]

I don’t think we gain anything by re-visiting last year or even bringing it up.

Davis made some mistakes, but his mistakes were capitalized on by many to suit other goals and escape accountability.  Several of whom are Republicans.  He admitted mistakes and sure as hell paid for them.  And some country club Pubs behaved in ways that should earn them eternal scorn or at least make them less trustworthy.

Can’t take up for some stuff, but I don’t see any gain from bringing it back up.  Focus on 2010, not 2008.  We gotta be united this time.  Can’t be overly sensitive about 2008, but can’t just look at part of the picture if it is brought up.  So, I say focus on 2010 and not 2008 for the good of the party and our nominee.

Posted by Howard Roark on 10-15-2009 at 02:03 PM [link]

As for the substance, I hope the nationalization strategy works.

Posted by Howard Roark on 10-15-2009 at 02:04 PM [link]

I recently moved into Mr. Childers district and emailed him my thoughts on the health care issue.  No Response of course.  He has zero concerns for the majority of his district unless it supports the agenda of the present administration.
The old statement comes to mind.  Fool me once, shame on you.  Fool me twice, shame on me. I hope it will not be a fool me twice with the voters concerning him and his support of this party that does not support the majority of the people in his district.
He DOES not have your best interest at heart! VOTE HIM OUT!

Posted by wgfa on 10-15-2009 at 06:34 PM [link]

Let’s not forget Joey Langston.  Quoting Childers concerning Langston, “...I know his heart and it is good. I wish I could fix this situation.  I would take his punishment if I could.”

Posted by Hawkeye on 10-15-2009 at 09:17 PM [link]

Actually your Mr. Childers has done a fine job for you on the Hill.  He’s respected and liked.  And he’s certainly as conservative as they come.  Your hostility for him is puzzling.

Posted by GeneralJ on 10-17-2009 at 07:21 PM [link]

GeneralJ, if you’re thinking of a career in comedy, don’t quit your day job yet.  He’s far from conservative.

Posted by CDavidS on 10-17-2009 at 07:28 PM [link]

How so?

Posted by GeneralJ on 10-17-2009 at 07:31 PM [link]

General J, if you have any experience at Congress you know that a “conservative Democrat” has virtually no shot at any position of power or responsibility.  That person makes only one vote every two years that is of significance and that is the vote for Speaker.  When Travis makes his vote for Nancy Pelosi then he is slapping the faces of all of his conservative constituents.  They may not understand that but he does.  If you have any political experience then you should know it as well.

Posted by rubradog on 10-18-2009 at 12:23 PM [link]

Travis Childers gets permission from Pelosi to vote conservative when the Democrats don’t need his votes.  It’s all about PR.  If Childers’ vote was the deciding vote, he would fall right in line and vote with the liberals.  He has yet to take an honest conservative stand on any issue.

Posted by Hawkeye on 10-18-2009 at 12:27 PM [link]

Second rubradog.

As for GeneralJ “And he’s certainly as conservative as they come.” Whoever “they” are, they’re not very conservative.  Childers voted for the porkulus, and the cash-for-clunkers twice.  He also opposed removing the tax cheat Rangel from his chairmanship of Ways and Means that writes tax laws.  According to the Washington Post, he votes with his party 80.8% of the time, and the American Conservative Union rates him at 41% (for ‘08).

I bet we can find someone more conservative than that.  Might not even be hard.

Posted by Elwood P Dowd on 10-18-2009 at 06:20 PM [link]

This race more than just a litmus test for the Obama/Pelosi strategy. Wicker held this seat for nearly six terms, then in ‘08 Childers won by 40k votes. If the GOP cannot even win back MS-01, then as a national party it should expect to be in the minority for years to come.

Posted by OleMissLaw on 10-19-2009 at 08:19 AM [link]

I would like someone to ask Mr Childers why when people were calling him on the day of the Cap and Trade vote he did not know which way he was going to vote until the last minute.  As I remember his office said he was leaning against but had not decided.  We all know that Pelosi did not have the votes yet but thought she could get them.  Then she let Travis loose to save his face.  He is in trouble if she makes him walk the plank on health care.

Posted by Contract with America on 10-19-2009 at 01:27 PM [link]

It MUST be stated once again, and loudly:

You can not possibly be considered a non-leftist when your first vote of the year is in favor of a San Francisco Marxist to be Speaker of the House.

That one vote has more meaning than anything else.

Posted by Algerhiss on 10-23-2009 at 08:03 AM [link]

I don’t understand this line of thought:

<blockquote>You can not possibly be considered a non-leftist when your first vote of the year is in favor of a San Francisco Marxist to be Speaker of the House.</blockqupte>

Putting aside the allegation that Speaker Pelosi is a “Marxist” (I haven’t seen her propose any legislation nationalizing companies, have you?), has there ever been a Member of Congress who didn’t vote for their party’s candidate for Speaker?

Posted by Jim Craig on 10-23-2009 at 03:06 PM [link]

Certainly party members are expected to vote for their own speaker.  A reasonable conclusion is that it’s just impossible to be a conservative Democrat congressman, at least until that party comes to its senses a bit.

Of course, a really smart bunch of blue dogs might have made a deal with the Republican minority to elect a blue dog speaker.  It would be only upside for the R’s, the blue-dogs would have gotten a speaker who would put them first in line for everything, and they would have better served their constituents. 

But that’s a lot to ask from a congresscritter.

Posted by Elwood P Dowd on 10-23-2009 at 04:51 PM [link]

And while we’re at it, Pelosi the Marxist may be exaggeration.  But the public option in the Obamacare that Nancy is pushing is exactly an attempt to nationalize the health insurance industry.  A government-run insurance system will never charge what the benefits actually cost, and so will be subsidized.  The political pressure to do so will be irresistible.  If you don’t believe that, you haven’t paid much attention to how social security and Medicare are run.  Consequently, the public option will drive private insurance out of business until there is nothing but the public option left.  That’s why Nancy’s in favor of it.

Posted by Elwood P Dowd on 10-23-2009 at 05:03 PM [link]

Pelosi and company are in fact trying to nationalize many companies.  GM, several banks, all the healthcare companies, et al.

Posted by CDavidS on 10-24-2009 at 06:31 AM [link]

One can tell that many voters have confidence in Obama and the Democrats..just look at the ammo sales, gold prices and those that are storing food.  People stock up on those things when they have absolute confidence in the government.

Posted by Stones12x5 on 10-25-2009 at 05:53 PM [link]

You have to remember, when folks tout MS-01 as a traditional GOP district, they are forgetting that Jamie Whitten, a diehard D, was our Congressman for 53 years! So, this has always been one of those HuffPost talking points…

Posted by MrJWS on 10-26-2009 at 07:08 PM [link]

MrJWS,

A lot has changed since then.  Sweet Nancy was not the speakah back then.  Many have swappped sides because the folks have been changing sides.

Posted by Contract with America on 10-26-2009 at 07:34 PM [link]
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