As season arrives, is ‘upset’ even the right word anymore?

Nowhere, in any preseason magazine or on any website, have you read a BYU-Missouri national championship breakdown.
Not a shrub has been cut down to print the chances of West Virginia and Tulsa meeting in South Florida. Illinois-Texas Tech? Gotta be kidding.
That’s because college football likes its favorites, a little bit too much it turns out. Some loon betting on Appalachian State, Stanford, Syracuse or Louisiana-Monroe at the right time last season could have set himself up in a luxury box for years to come.

Now the ultimate question for all the nerds who have scored with the prom queen: Was that an anomaly or a trend? In other words, could the Season of the Upset in 2007 be the opening act of a long-running show? Let’s go to one of the places where they know a lot about opening acts and upsets: Vegas.
“I believe it is a trend,” said Tony Sinisi, the odds director at Las Vegas Sports Consultants, one of the city’s major point-spread setters. “College football is becoming a lot more like college basketball. It’s not who you play, it’s when you play them. The gap isn’t as large. I think this is the new world.”
That new world puts Appalachian State in the same betting category it was in last year at this time. N/A. That’s the notation posted by most major sports books, which don’t publish spreads on I-A vs. I-AA games. Reason? There already are enough teams to keep track of, according to Sinisi. That might explain what was going through the mind of Michigan last year.

sportsline.com
8/27/08