Mississippi: Roger Wicker, appointed to fill out the term of retired Sen. Trent Lott, has opened a modest lead over former Gov. Ronnie Musgrove, moving from a dead heat last month to a 48 percent to 42 percent advantage in a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted July 28. Three percent prefer someone “other,” 8 percent are undecided and the margin of error is 4.5 percent. If “leaners” are counted, Wicker’s lead is a little bigger. Wicker’s favorable-to-unfavorable numbers are 61 percent to 29 percent while Musgrove’s are 51 percent to 41 percent. Wicker has a 2-to-1 advantage among unaffiliated voters. He gets 72 percent of the white vote while Musgrove polls 83 percent of black voters.
Thad Cochran, seeking a sixth term, was way out in front in his race against former state legislator Erik Fleming 59 percent to 32 percent in Rasmussen’s June poll. CQ Politics rates Cochran’s race “Safe Republican” and the Wicker-Musgrove contest as “No Clear Favorite.”