UPDATED: Poll shows McDaniel leads Cochran by 2 points

The lead — 46.4 to 44.3 percent — is within the poll’s 3.4 percent margin of error. It was conducted by Chism Strategies, which is owned by Democratic pollster Brad Chism. Chism is based in Mississippi but has done extensive work across the country. He said he is not working for any candidate associated with this race; however, Chism did work with Travis Childers during his 2008 and 2010 Congressional races.

Here’s what Chism said in his polling memo:

•McDaniel’s numbers have recovered after the initial drop in the wake of the arrests of campaign supporters.
•Our earlier tracking surveys showed McDaniel leading Cochran within the margin of error before the scandal broke.

Chism said the race is too close to call.

Clarion Ledger
5/31/14